U.K. Prime Minister Rishi Sunak is facing a challenge as he tries to gain approval for his plan to send some asylum-seekers to Rwanda. He needs to deal with a rebellion within his Conservative Party, with lawmakers set to vote on a bill to overcome a Supreme Court block on the Rwanda plan. The dissent from within his party has already led to the resignation of two deputy chairmen and a junior ministerial aide.
Sunak believes that deporting unauthorized asylum-seekers will discourage risky journeys and disrupt people-smuggling gangs. However, there is disagreement within the Conservative Party. Moderates find the policy too extreme, especially since the United Nations’ refugee agency has stated that it is not compatible with international refugee law. On the other hand, some hard-liners feel the bill doesn't go far enough to deter migration.
The outcome of the vote is crucial for Sunak's government, as it could impact its survival. With the Conservatives trailing in polls, Sunak has made the immigration policy central to his election strategy. If about 30 Tory lawmakers vote against the bill, it might be enough, along with opposition votes, to defeat the legislation.
Sunak insists that the bill goes as far as the government can, as Rwanda could withdraw from the agreement if the U.K. breaks international law. The proposed law, if approved, would disapply sections of U.K. human rights law for Rwanda-related asylum claims, making it harder to challenge deportations in court.
The plan to send asylum-seekers to Rwanda has faced criticism for being inhumane and unworkable, with legal challenges leading to a Supreme Court ruling against it. In response, a treaty was signed with Rwanda to strengthen protections for migrants, and Sunak's government argues that the treaty allows the passage of a law declaring Rwanda a safe destination.
The bill's fate hangs in the balance, with further opposition expected in the House of Lords if it passes the House of Commons. The outcome will have significant implications for Sunak's government and its key immigration policy.
